Wimbledon

[stroke]

Novak of course a big favorite vs Sinner, at an implied probability of winning at just over 84%. Alcaraz at an implied probability of winning at about 70% vs Med.

[jimlosaltos]

Chris is leading the tournament in number aces at the moment. Of course, two of the players will no longer be adding to the count. Bublik also kind of cancels out his fine serving work as he leads the tournament table when it comes to double faults...with 38.

C. Eubanks 85 aces
A. Bublik 84 aces
H. Hurkacz 82 aces

Hurkacz has hit the quickest serve of the tournament so far with a 141mph rocket.

I liked your point about Bublik's doubles. But then I looked up percent of first serves won, and Bublik led the men for the tournament
248 of 285 = 87 %

Hurkacz is well back at: 232 of 283 = 82 %, and Eubanks doesn't show up amongst the leaders.

No, this doesn't negate your point but Bublik may just be maximizing his tool set?

As usual, there are other stats I'd rather see -- unreturned serves instead of aces, serve +1 points won among them.

[jimlosaltos]

Big props to you for call outs on Eubanks. I always liked him but never thought he'd do this. Kudos.

If John is reading these, I put in a vote to start a pinned thread on betting on ATP tennis, "chaired" by stroke.

[stroke]

https://photos.app.goo.gl/o9ZMSNH1BEBuC5488

Stats thus far.

[stroke]

All credit to Med gutting out the 4th set by a sliver. He is giving up firepower on all shots out there, but he does not give in, as we all know. He is a great worker and problem solver obviously.

[stroke]

The best display of grass court power tennis still on display. It is out of Meds hands. Chris up 2 sets to 1. It is all on his terms.

[stroke]

https://hughclarke.substack.com/p/djokovic-x-rublev-wimbledon-quarterfinal?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email#media-f2166284-6cc3-4d74-8d21-be484ec3b10f

Really good write up/analysis on the Novak Sinner match.

[stroke]

Odds are out for the final 8. Of course, Novak, Sinner, Medvedev, and Alcaraz are the favorites in their respective matches, in that order(strongest to weakest). Very interesting. If I were to take a flyer on any of the underdogs, it would be ....Chris ha.

[stotty]

I think Alcaraz will beat Rune tomorrow and I'm rooting for Eubanks over Meddy. Not sure what the odds are? Any news on that one, stroke?

[stotty]

You felt Sinner and Novak were both going to win their matches, Novak especially. Sinner versus Novak might be more interesting. Sinner - now back with his old pin point serve - will need higher than the 55% first percentage he clocked up today if he is to beat Novak. Sinner has power, easy power, on both wings, and if he can combine that with serving well...well who knows.

[stroke]

Rublev did not go away, he played very well.

[stroke]

Novak's 10 year winning streak on Center Court at Wimbledon appears to be good for another day. Rublev has played very well though.

[stroke]

Yes I would say 38 doubles take him out of the conversation

[stotty]

Chris is leading the tournament in number aces at the moment. Of course, two of the players will no longer be adding to the count. Bublik also kind of cancels out his fine serving work as he leads the tournament table when it comes to double faults...with 38.

C. Eubanks 85 aces
A. Bublik 84 aces
H. Hurkacz 82 aces

Hurkacz has hit the quickest serve of the tournament so far with a 141mph rocket.

[stroke]

Odds are out for the final 8. Of course, Novak, Sinner, Medvedev, and Alcaraz are the favorites in their respective matches, in that order(strongest to weakest). Very interesting. If I were to take a flyer on any of the underdogs, it would be ....Chris ha.